Solana Open Interest Plummets 30%: Will SOL Hit $68?

Solana futures open interest dropped 30% in May as leverage traders fled, but strong spot ETF inflows and spot buying could cushion the fall.

Solana Open Interest Plummets 30%: Will SOL Hit $68?

Solana’s derivatives market is undergoing a dramatic regime shift. Speculative traders are rapidly unwinding their leveraged positions, leading to a massive drop in futures open interest, even as spot market demand remains surprisingly resilient.

Leverage Flush: Solana Open Interest Drops 30%

Throughout May, Solana (SOL) experienced a significant exodus of speculative capital. The key metric tracking this, Solana open interest in the futures market, plummeted 30% from $2.75 billion on May 11 to $1.90 billion by the end of the month. Meanwhile, funding rates hovered near a neutral -0.005, indicating a lack of aggressive directional bias from either bulls or bears.

Key Solana Metrics (May)

  • Futures Open Interest: $1.90B (Down 30%)
  • Stablecoin-Margined Futures CVD: -$13B (Yearly Low)
  • Spot SOL ETF Net Inflows: $113M
  • Critical Support Level: $80

At the same time, the cumulative volume delta (CVD) for stablecoin-margined futures contracts slid to a yearly low of -$13 billion. This decline highlights persistent sell-side pressure dominating the derivatives space throughout the month.

Spot Accumulation and ETF Inflows Provide a Cushion

While the derivatives market painted a bearish picture, spot market participants showed steady accumulation. Since March, spot CVD has improved by $350 million, demonstrating that buyers on spot exchanges are consistently absorbing the available supply.

This organic demand was bolstered by regulated investment products. Monthly net inflows into spot Solana ETFs reached $113 million in May, marking the strongest monthly performance for SOL ETFs in 2026.

“The stark contrast between futures liquidations and steady spot accumulation suggests this is a healthy deleveraging phase rather than a panic-driven market capitulation,” an industry analyst noted.

Technical Outlook: Will the $80 Support Hold?

From a technical standpoint, the SOL/USD pair remains locked in a broad consolidation range between $80 and $95. A recent rejection at the upper boundary has brought the price back down to test the critical $80 support level.

A breakdown below $80 would shift the market’s focus to the yearly low near $68. Liquidation heatmaps reveal that over $800 million in cumulative long leverage is clustered around the $67–$68 zone, making it a highly attractive liquidity pocket for market makers and short sellers.

Prominent crypto trader Cold Blooded Shiller pointed out on X that SOL’s chart remains one of the weaker large-cap structures, noting a persistent downtrend since October and a lack of immediate support below $80. Echoing this sentiment, market commentator Zoe revealed they have placed buy bids near $67, anticipating a sweep of the leveraged long liquidations.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

Why did Solana’s open interest drop in May?

The 30% drop in Solana open interest was driven by leverage traders closing out their positions due to price weakness and uncertainty around the key $80 support level.

What is the significance of the $68 price level?

$68 represents Solana’s yearly low and hosts a massive cluster of over $800 million in potential long liquidations, making it a key target if the $80 support fails.

Are spot ETFs helping support Solana’s price?

Yes. The $113 million in net inflows into spot SOL ETFs during May indicates strong institutional demand, which helps offset the selling pressure seen in the futures market.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *